V1: BSM Constant IV

v12026-07-03159915.SZ Call K=4.0±5%

At 9:30, calculate BSM price estimates using constant IV from market open. Track actual 1-min prices all day. Shows where BSM holds and where it breaks down (IV drift, time decay).

Changelog:
v1 → Constant IV from ATM contract — ignores volatility skew
9:30 IV
0.0%
Day MAE
0.0114
Day RMS
0.0123
Minutes
242

Underlying & Option Price

3.33452.54101.74750.95400.160509:30:0010:00:0010:30:0011:00:0011:30:0013:29:0013:59:0014:29:0014:59:00UnderlyingOption ActualOption BSM

Prediction Error (Actual - BSM)

-0.0008-0.0051-0.0095-0.0138-0.018209:30:0010:00:0010:30:0011:00:0011:30:0013:29:0013:59:0014:29:0014:59:00Error

BSM Price Curve vs Actual (±5%)

3.4092.5791.7480.9180.0873.843.903.964.024.084.144.20BSM CurveActual